Question

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

30 comments30

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction

(1% - 16%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Oct 30, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2074

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 1, 2074

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 5, 2024

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Psychology Today•Mar 20, 2025

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Lew Rockwell•Mar 20, 2025

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Newsweek•Mar 19, 2025

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Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?

24%

Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

51%

Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?

39%

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