🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

[Short fuse] Who will win the 2024 Uruguayan Presidential election?

2
3
11 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 11

Make a Prediction

Me
ResolvedYamandĂș Orsi
78.4%
Álvaro Delgado
15.5%
Andrés Ojeda
2.2%
Another outcome
4%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?YamandĂș Orsi

Community Baseline Score
70.0
Community Peer Score
26.3
Authors:
BrunoParga
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2024 International Elections Hub
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

Comments

? comments