33 comments
116 forecasters
Will Boeing fly astronauts to ISS before SpaceX?
15%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 15% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 12, 2019
Closes:Oct 31, 2019
Resolved:May 30, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 13, 2019
Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?
41.6% chance
21
When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?
01 Jan 2028
(08 Dec 2026 - 12 May 2029)
01 Jan 2028
(08 Dec 2026 - 12 May 2029)
202 forecasters
When will SpaceX launch humans around the Moon?
20 Nov 2028
(13 Mar 2027 - May 2031)
20 Nov 2028
(13 Mar 2027 - May 2031)
98 forecasters