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Before 30 November 2019, will Germany's Bundestag adopt a bill that would impose a fine on parents who refuse a measles vaccine for their children?


This question was generated from the IARPA Global Forecasting Challenge 2.

In the wake of the recent measles outbreak across Europe (EuroNews), German Health Minister Jens Spahn has drafted legislation imposing a fine on parents who refuse the measles vaccine for their children (TheGuardian). Adoption by the Bundestag entails passing three readings before proceeding to the next stage of the legislative process (Bundestag, GermanConstitution).

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