Question
Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction
34%
(27% - 42%)
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2024
Closes:Jul 2, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Oct 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 3, 2024
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
43%
Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
37%
Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?
0.1%
Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2024
Closes:Jul 2, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Oct 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 3, 2024
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
43%
Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
37%
Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?
0.1%