19 comments
88 forecasters
Will Pete Buttigieg drop out before the Indiana primary?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 19, 2019
Closes:Mar 2, 2020
Resolved:Mar 1, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 20, 2019
Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?
30% chance
53
Will Iowa host another "first in the nation" Democratic caucus before 2029?
33% chance
75
Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?
5% chance
43