Question
By how many billion USD will Elon Musk’s net worth differ from the highest other net worth on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 1, 2025?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters72
Community Prediction
>100
(>100 - >100)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-20 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | >100 | — |
| median | >100 | — |
| upper 75% | >100 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 97.2% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Peer Score
34.3
Community Baseline Score
96.8
Authors:
Opened:Nov 7, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 10, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Nov 7, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 10, 2024