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6
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24
forecasters
Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?
5%
chance
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Authors:
bayesfactor
Opened:
Nov 12, 2024
Closes:
Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:
Nov 16, 2024
2024 Electoral Consequences
Politics
News Match
Republicans promised health care negotiations after the shutdown, but Democrats are wary
Associated Press
•
Nov 14, 2025
As health insurance bills rise, Republicans are still seeking an Obamacare alternative
NBC
•
Nov 14, 2025
Trump sort of reveals his ‘concepts of a plan’ to replace Obamacare: ‘Call it Trumpcare’
Independent
•
Nov 12, 2025
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