Question

What will be the average tariff on goods entering the United States for Q4 2025?

Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
7.44%
(5.13% - 12.1%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1%0.3%
Quartiles
lower 25%5.125%
median7.443%
upper 75%12.12%
Upper bound
>20%14.3%
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 20, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 17, 2024