Question
What will be the average tariff on goods entering the United States for Q4 2025?
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
7.44%
(5.13% - 12.1%)
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CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<1% | 0.3% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 5.125% | — |
median | 7.443% | — |
upper 75% | 12.12% | — |
Upper bound | ||
>20% | 14.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 20, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 17, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 20, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 17, 2024