Question
How many small firearms per capita will there be in the US in 2029?
Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction
1.4 firearms/person
(1.19 firearms/person - 1.63 firearms/person)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.192 | — |
| median | 1.396 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.632 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >3 | 4.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2019