6 comments
51 forecasters
How many small firearms per capita will there be in the US in 2029?
Current estimate
1.37 firearms/person
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2019
How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?
11 forecasters
Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?
0.1% chance
32
Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?
5% chance
33