Question
When will the median Hongkonger be merely "quite disatisfied" with the present political condition in Hong Kong, according to HKPORI?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters66
Community Prediction
>31 Aug 2020
(>31 Aug 2020 - >31 Aug 2020)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | >31 Aug 2020 | — |
median | >31 Aug 2020 | — |
upper 75% | >31 Aug 2020 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>31 Aug 2020 | 95.5% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
92.4
Community Peer Score
57.1
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2019
Closes:Aug 29, 2020
Resolves:Sep 24, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 23, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2019
Closes:Aug 29, 2020
Resolves:Sep 24, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 23, 2019