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[Short Fuse] Will no Prime Minister of Italy be named in August 2019?
On the 20th of August 2019, the PM of Italy resigned (AFP).
Now a new coalition must be formed, to allow the President of Italy to name a new Prime Minister.
Question: Will the President of Italy fail to name a new Prime Minister before the end of August 2019?
Resolution shall be by credible media report. The end of August is 2019-08-31 23:59:59, Rome time.
In case of negative resolution, this will retroactively close 1 hour before the official announcement.
Metaculus help: Predicting
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The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available. With tachyons you'll even be able to go back in time and backdate your prediction to maximize your points.
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Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.
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Metaculus help: Community Stats
Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.
When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.