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Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?

Question

The fivethirtyeight.com team, lead by Nate Silver, was able to predict exactly the 2012 state-by-state electoral map for the presidential election. In 2008 their prediction missed on only a single state, Indiana, which Obama won by a 0.1% margin.

See for example this writeup on Mashable.

Will the 538 model repeat its 2012 success and correctly predict the outcome in every state?

This will resolve as correct if the final prediction from fivethirtyeight.com before the election matches exactly the electoral results post-election for each state. (Maine and Nebraska allow their electoral votes to be split; for these two states, success requires all the districts to be called correctly.) If the site has multiple prediction models showing as of the day before the election, whichever is highlighted as their best pick will be used.

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Prediction

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