Question
When will a generative model produce a realistic 2-minute video, at a 256 × 256 resolution or better?
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction
29 Jan 2023
(18 Jun 2022 - 31 Dec 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <Aug 2019 | 0.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 18 Jun 2022 | — |
| median | 29 Jan 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | 31 Dec 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Aug 2031 | 1.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Sep 2, 2019
Closed:Dec 31, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 4, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Sep 2, 2019
Closed:Dec 31, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 4, 2019