Question
Who will be the next chancellor of Germany after 2024?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 40
Make a Prediction
| Candidates | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
ResolvedFriedrich Merz | 99.5% | |||
Olaf Scholz | 0.1% | |||
Robert Habeck | 0.1% | |||
Alice Weidel | 0.1% | |||
Christian Lindner | 0.1% | |||
Another candidate | 0.1% | |||
Total: ?
(? remaining)Which of these actually happened?Friedrich Merz
Community Baseline Score
97.5
Community Peer Score
14.5
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2024
Closes:Apr 30, 2025
Resolves:May 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2024
Closes:Apr 30, 2025
Resolves:May 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2024