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How many Starlink satellites will be in operation at the end of 2027?

According to Wikipedia:

Starlink is a satellite constellation development project underway by American company SpaceX, to develop a low-cost, high-performance satellite bus and requisite customer ground transceivers to implement a new space-based Internet communication system.

According to this Space News article, they intend to launch 12 000 satellites by the end of 2027. As of the 22nd of March 2019, 62 have been launched (at least 57 are operational), with 60 more scheduled in October 2019. Quite a long way to go.

Question: How many Starlink satellites will be in orbit and operational at the end of 2027?

Resolution details:

  • Resolution is by credible media report.
  • This is insensitive to the project changing name, being bought by another company, etc. as long as it is the same project as judged by a Metaculus admin.
  • The end of 2027 is 2027-12-31 23:59:59 UTC.


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