57 forecasters

Which parties will form the governing coalition after the 2025 Germany Federal Elections?

Union+SPDresult: Yes

Union+Greens+SPD1%

Union+Greens0.1%

Forecast Timeline

Union+SPD

Union+Greens+SPD

Union+Greens

Others (3)

Authors:

copacetic

Opened:

Dec 14, 2024

Closes:

Apr 29, 2025

Resolved:

May 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 17, 2024

Politics

Elections

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Merz’s conservatives ahead but far-right AfD party the biggest winner in German local elections

PBS NewsHour•Sep 15, 2025

Merz’s conservatives ahead but far-right party the biggest winner in German local elections

Associated Press•Sep 15, 2025

The AfD’s mission to seduce West Germany is paying off

Spectator (UK)•Sep 15, 2025

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