Question

When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours?

Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction
>15 Sep 2025
(>15 Sep 2025 - >15 Sep 2025)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%>15 Sep 2025
median>15 Sep 2025
upper 75%>15 Sep 2025
Upper bound
>15 Sep 202583.1%
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 23, 2019
Closes:Sep 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 25, 2019