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3
41
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41 forecasters
Bot benchmarking question list
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Will Bitcoin’s price drop below 50% of its highest recorded price at any point before 2040?
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20%
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11%
chance
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Current estimate
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20%
chance
2 comments
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Cryptocurrencies >1% of US retail payments by 2035?
81%
chance
2 comments
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Polymarket "Holding Rewards" falls below 4% before 2028?
50%
chance
3 comments
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US stock market crash of >10% in any week before 2027?
41.5%
chance
80 comments
265 forecasters
Date of 1 Bitcoin Worth $1 Million 2020USD
Current estimate
Nov 2042