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59 forecasters
Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3,000 in any calendar year before 2032?
25%chance
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Opened:Oct 24, 2019
Closes:Jul 1, 2032
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 26, 2019
By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?
8% chance
124
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14% chance
2.1k
How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026?
81 forecasters