🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3,000 in any calendar year before 2032?

8
18
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction27% (15% - 36%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 27%
Authors:
randallburns
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Operation Enduring Freedom
Operation Freedom's Sentinel
Iraq War
Operation New Dawn
Operation Inherent Resolve
United States Army
US Armed Forces
United States

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