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58
574
forecasters
77
58 comments
574 forecasters
Bridgewater x Metaculus Contest Warm Up 2025
2 more...
How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025?
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2 or fewer
0.1%
3 to 5
0.1%
6 to 8
result:
Yes
9 to 11
11.3%
2 others
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