455 forecasters

Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025?

99.9%chance

99.9%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 100% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 3, 2025

Closes:

Jan 19, 2025

Resolved:

Jan 20, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 4, 2025

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup

Trump Extends TikTok Deadline Ban To Dec. 16

Forbes•Sep 17, 2025

Trump delays TikTok ban for fourth time to allow for US-China deal

New York Post•Sep 17, 2025

Trump pushes TikTok deadline as new details emerge on a US-China deal over social media giant

Independent•Sep 17, 2025

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