5 comments
31 forecasters
What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 11, 2025
Closes:Feb 22, 2025
Resolved:Feb 26, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 14, 2025
Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?
13% chance
70
Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?
5.9% chance
1.3k
Which party will lead the next German government?
11 forecasters