46 comments
1.3k forecasters
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
88%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 88% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolved:Jun 23, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2025
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