Question
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters1306
Community Prediction
88%
(80% - 95%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Peer Score
-5.5
Community Baseline Score
-114.8
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2025
