Question

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

Total Forecasters1255
Community Prediction
90%
(84% - 96%)

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50%
community: 90%
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Opened:Jan 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2025