Question

Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?

Total Forecasters1348
Community Prediction
34%
(29% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 34%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2025