13 comments
43 forecasters
How many Republican U.S. senators will vote to convict on at least one article of impeachment, if Trump is impeached by the House during his first term?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2019
Closes:Nov 15, 2019
Resolved:Feb 6, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 3, 2019
Will a federal judge be impeached by Republican Representatives in a partisan vote before January 3, 2027?
20% chance
448
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, how many US Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by him on January 21, 2029?
24 forecasters
Will a U.S. federal judge be impeached in a partisan vote in the following years?
44 forecasters