MetaculusM

Question

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

29

Total Forecasters169

Community Prediction80% (65% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki

Cuban Missile Crisis

Nuclear terrorism

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki

Cuban Missile Crisis

Nuclear terrorism