176 forecasters

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

75%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 8, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 9, 2019

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Energy secretary reveals how US nuclear tests will work

FOX News•Nov 3, 2025

Trump’s nuclear weapons tests won’t include explosions ‘right now,’ official says

Independent•Nov 3, 2025

How will ‘limited’ US nuclear tests avoid any explosions?

Al Jazeera•Nov 3, 2025

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