880 forecasters

Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?

0.1%chance

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 3, 2025

Closes:

Mar 30, 2025

Resolved:

Mar 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 6, 2025

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France drifts into political turmoil as another prime minister is ousted

PBS NewsHour•Sep 9, 2025

France’s prime minister is ousted as the nation drifts into turmoil

Associated Press•Sep 9, 2025

France to get third PM in a year as Bayrou to resign after confidence vote

Guardian•Sep 9, 2025

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