Question

Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?

Resolved:No

37 comments37

Total Forecasters880

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 0.1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

33.3

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Feb 3, 2025

Closes:

Mar 30, 2025

Resolves:

Mar 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 6, 2025

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

French PM's plan to scrap two holidays stirs outcry, and memories of a toppled predecessor

NBC•Jul 17, 2025

France takes a stab at fiscal reform

American Thinker•Jul 16, 2025

Bayrou will regret his plan to scrap French bank holidays

Spectator (UK)•Jul 16, 2025

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