9 comments
38 forecasters
What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 6th Assessment Report?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2019
Closes:Dec 1, 2021
Resolved:Aug 9, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 15, 2019
What will be the IPCC's best estimate of the transient climate response in 2100?
1.9 °C
(1.61 - 2.19)
1.9 °C
(1.61 - 2.19)
11 forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20% chance
142
What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?
3.91 °C²
(2.43 - 5.77)
3.91 °C²
(2.43 - 5.77)
2 forecasters