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Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon, if the feat is achieved by the end of 2025?
Even though Beresheet and Chandrayaan-2 both crashed into the moon in 2019, Israel and India continue in their attempts to soft-land on the moon. Israel's next attempt, Beresheet 2, is set for a landing in 2022 as of October 2019. On the other hand, the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) may work with Japan's JAXA in the Chandrayaan-3 mission, with a suggested launch date of 2024.
So far, only the US, Russia, and China have landed spacecraft intact on the moon.
Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land a spacecraft on the Moon, if a new country does so before December 31, 2025?
For the purposes of this question, the country that builds the lunar lander will receive credit for the soft landing; the rocket or payload such as rovers may be provided by (US, Russia, China).
Resolution is positive if SpaceIL (or, much less likely, another Israeli effort) is the next non-(US, Russia, China) country to achieve a gentle landing of a spacecraft on the Moon before December 31, 2025; it is negative if a non-(US, Russia, China) country achieves a gentle landing before Israel and before December 31, 2025; it is ambiguous if no non-(US, Russia, China) country achieves a gentle landing before December 31, 2025.
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