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Question

In the year ending on November 2nd, 2020, will the total worldwide non-governmental funding of AI & Automation social science research exceed $100M?

Resolved:Ambiguous
11
16 comments16
Total Forecasters111
Community Prediction
76%
(70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 76%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:
Tamay
Opened:Nov 2, 2019
Closes:Sep 30, 2020
Resolves:Feb 9, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 2, 2019
Foresight 2020 Contest
Social Sciences
Technology
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Associated Press logo
Funders commit $1B toward developing AI tools for frontline workers
Associated Press•Jul 17, 2025
Wired logo
Thinking Machines Lab Raises a Record $2 Billion, Announces Cofounders
Wired•Jul 16, 2025
NBC logo
Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and xAI granted up to $200 million for AI work from Defense Department
NBC•Jul 15, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

76%

Will global corporate spending on adoption of AI applications, infrastructure, and services reach or exceed $700 billion USD during 2029?

Will there be a global-level mechanism for distribution of benefits of AI before January 1, 2030?

1%
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:Nov 2, 2019
Closes:Sep 30, 2020
Resolves:Feb 9, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 2, 2019
Foresight 2020 Contest
Social Sciences
Technology
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Associated Press logo
Funders commit $1B toward developing AI tools for frontline workers
Associated Press•Jul 17, 2025
Wired logo
Thinking Machines Lab Raises a Record $2 Billion, Announces Cofounders
Wired•Jul 16, 2025
NBC logo
Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and xAI granted up to $200 million for AI work from Defense Department
NBC•Jul 15, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

76%

Will global corporate spending on adoption of AI applications, infrastructure, and services reach or exceed $700 billion USD during 2029?

Will there be a global-level mechanism for distribution of benefits of AI before January 1, 2030?

1%
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