Question

In the year ending on November 2nd, 2020, will the total worldwide non-governmental funding of AI & Automation social science research exceed $100M?

Resolved:Ambiguous

16 comments16

Total Forecasters111

Community Prediction

76%

(70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 76%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Nov 2, 2019

Closes:

Sep 30, 2020

Resolves:

Feb 9, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 2, 2019

Foresight 2020 Contest

Social Sciences

Technology

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and xAI granted up to $200 million for AI work from Defense Department

NBC•Jul 15, 2025

AI funding in 2024 is absolutely wild Mistral $1B round LangChain Unicorn status Meta $100M talent bonuses

•Jul 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

76%

Will global corporate spending on adoption of AI applications, infrastructure, and services reach or exceed $700 billion USD during 2029?

Will there be a global-level mechanism for distribution of benefits of AI before January 1, 2030?

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Nov 2, 2019

Closes:

Sep 30, 2020

Resolves:

Feb 9, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 2, 2019

Foresight 2020 Contest

Social Sciences

Technology

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and xAI granted up to $200 million for AI work from Defense Department

NBC•Jul 15, 2025

AI funding in 2024 is absolutely wild Mistral $1B round LangChain Unicorn status Meta $100M talent bonuses

•Jul 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

76%