15 comments
97 forecasters
Will total funding in longevity startups worldwide exceed $5bn in the year ending in November 2nd, 2020?
19%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 19% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 2, 2019
Closes:Sep 30, 2020
Resolved:Sep 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 3, 2019
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Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65% chance
87
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
17% chance
16
When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?
17 Jul 2030
(06 Jun 2028 - Oct 2033)
17 Jul 2030
(06 Jun 2028 - Oct 2033)
20 forecasters