4 comments
93 forecasters
In the year ending in November 2nd, 2020, will a novel regenerative medicine‐based‐therapy induce excess structural regeneration of digits in rodents?
10%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 2, 2019
Closes:Sep 30, 2020
Resolved:Nov 8, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 3, 2019
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
10% chance
16
Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?
20% chance
17
Will the U.S. FDA approve induced pluripotent stem cells for treatment of any medical condition before 2031?
18% chance
9