Question
How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?
Total Forecasters117
Community Prediction
34.9 babies
(4.42 babies - 918 babies)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.422 | — |
| median | 34.94 | — |
| upper 75% | 917.8 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1M | 3.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 8, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 9, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Nov 8, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 9, 2019