Question

What percent of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction

2.89%

(1.8% - 4.21%)

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CDF

	<1%	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	9.3%	1.797%	2.893%	4.211%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<1%	9.3%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	1.797%	—
median	2.893%	—
upper 75%	4.211%	—

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Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Nov 8, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 9, 2019

Social Sciences

Health & Pandemics

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

60%

Will the US codify IVF protections at a federal level by 2030?

75%

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

Sep 2032

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Nov 8, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 9, 2019

Social Sciences

Health & Pandemics

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

60%

Will the US codify IVF protections at a federal level by 2030?

75%

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

Sep 2032