Question

[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.

Resolved:Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters79

Community Prediction

90%

(65% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

84.5

Community Peer Score

6.9

Authors:

GarrettLisi

Opened:

Jan 1, 2016

Closes:

Mar 1, 2016

Resolves:

May 1, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 3, 2016

Economy & Business

Computing and Math

2016 Leaderboard

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

50%

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%

Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?