Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

Pending

This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

Submitted

This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

If Sanders becomes president in 2020, how many unsheltered homeless people will there be in the US at the end of his term?

Question

One of the issues that Bernie Sanders is running on is Housing for All, a collection of policies intended to increase the availability of affordable housing. Of note for this question are his policies listed under the "end homelessness in America" heading:

  • Prioritize 25,000 National Affordable Housing Trust Fund units in the first year to house the homeless.

  • Double McKinney-Vento homelessness assistance grants to more than $26 billion over the next five years to build permanent supportive housing.

  • Provide $500 million in funding to states and localities to provide outreach to the homeless to help connect them to case management and social services to ensure nobody is left behind.

I am curious about whether these policies will be enacted, and to what extent they will work, so I ask:

If Bernie Sanders becomes president in 2020, how many unsheltered homeless people will there be in the US on a single night in 2024?

Judgement will be by the AHAR point in time estimate published in 2024.

Historically, these values have been:

  • 2014: 175,399

  • 2015: 173,268

  • 2016: 176,357

  • 2017: 190,129

  • 2018: 194,467

Categories:
Politics – US

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.