Question

How large will the largest single grant made by Open Philanthropy in 2020 be?

Resolved:33.926M
Total Forecasters76
Community Prediction
34M
(33.6M - 34.3M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<20M0.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%33.64M
median33.96M
upper 75%34.31M
Upper bound
>60M1.1%

What was the final result?33.926M

Community Baseline Score
82.5
Community Peer Score
45.5
Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2019