Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
11
54
forecasters
22
11 comments
54 forecasters
Health & Pandemics
When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
Current estimate
Apr 2033
Apr 2033
(05 Apr 2030 - Nov 2038)
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (11)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
5 comments
6 forecasters
First year with no wild polio cases
2030-2034
30.1%
2035-2039
13.2%
2040-2044
10.8%
≥2050
27.7%
2 others
28 comments
32 forecasters
Influenza B/Yamagata Eradication
30%
chance
15 comments
6 forecasters
Number of wild polio cases
2 comments
4 forecasters
Date of disease eradication?
Lymphatic filariasis (elephantiasis)
May 2045
Malaria
Jan 2042
Measles
Sep 2041
Cysticercosis (pork tapeworm)
Aug 2039
5 others
31 comments
96 forecasters
Date WHO announces end of COVID-19 pandemic
Current estimate
22 Mar 2028
5 comments
57 forecasters
COVID-19 Global Eradication
Current estimate
2098
17 comments
114 forecasters
Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?
5%
chance
4 comments
54 forecasters
Guinea Worm Eradication before 2031
52%
chance