Question
When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction
Nov 2032
(09 Dec 2029 - Feb 2038)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 09 Dec 2029 | — |
| median | Nov 2032 | — |
| upper 75% | Feb 2038 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2039 | 18.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 24, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 24, 2019