11 comments
54 forecasters
When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?
Current estimate
Nov 2032
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 24, 2019
When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?
6 forecasters
Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?
29.7% chance
31
How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?
3 forecasters