Question

Will the either the USA or China improve on their score on an the Animal Protection Index indicator for recognition of animal sentience, by the end 2022?

Resolved:Yes

4 comments4

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction

33%

(20% - 46%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-15.9

Community Peer Score

-0.6

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Nov 28, 2019

Closes:

May 31, 2021

Resolves:

May 31, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 30, 2019

Animal Welfare Series

Law

2016-2025 Leaderboard

How Animal Testing in US Could Be Transformed Under Trump

Newsweek•Jun 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

95%

Will reducing wild animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue in America before 2200?

66.7%

Will commercial animal farming be prohibited in the US before 2041?

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Nov 28, 2019

Closes:

May 31, 2021

Resolves:

May 31, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 30, 2019

Animal Welfare Series

Law

2016-2025 Leaderboard

How Animal Testing in US Could Be Transformed Under Trump

Newsweek•Jun 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

95%

Will reducing wild animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue in America before 2200?

66.7%