Question

How many candidates will get at least 15% of votes in the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses?

Resolved:3
Total Forecasters61
Community Prediction
3.16
(2.81 - 3.87)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%2.811
median3.16
upper 75%3.875

What was the final result?3

Community Baseline Score
74.0
Community Peer Score
24.2
Authors:
Opened:Dec 2, 2019
Closes:Jan 27, 2020
Resolves:Feb 7, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 3, 2019