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37
61
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61 forecasters
Elections
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How many candidates will get at least 15% of votes in the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses?
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Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
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25.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
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7.2%
Other
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4 others
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Third party wins US Senate election by 2050
48%
chance
0 comments
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What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?
Current estimate
-0.644 votes
2 comments
93 forecasters
Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
15%