Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
4
comments
59
forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems
community
52.7
result
39.19
Share
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
Pablo
Opened:
Dec 24, 2019
Closes:
Aug 1, 2020
Resolved:
Oct 29, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:
Dec 26, 2019
Social Sciences
🏆 2016-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
AI’s Next Frontier? An Algorithm for Consciousness
Wired
•
Oct 27, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?
61%
chance
28
Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?
57%
chance
19
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%
chance
44
Show More Questions