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PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems
In November 2009, David Bourget and David Chalmers conducted the first PhilPapers Survey of the philosophical views of professional philosophers. They published a paper on the results ("What Do Philosophers Believe?"), and made the raw data available. Bourget and Chalmers are now planning a second survey, to be conducted in February 2020 and published shortly thereafter, just over ten years after the original survey.
According to a discussion post by one of the survey's architects, the survey will be given out to professional philosophers in the English-speaking world:
The target population for the 2020 survey will probably be tenured/tenure-track/permanent faculty in BA-granting philosophy departments (or the equivalent) in the English-speaking world (more precisely, in the so-called Anglosphere of US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and the UK).
In the 2020 PhilPapers Survey, what percentage of respondents will "accept" or "lean toward" the view that future AI systems will be conscious?
Note that it is expected that there will be an option to allow people to select multiple answers (source).
This question resolves as the percent of all respondents that "accept" or "lean toward" the answer "future AI systems" on the question "for which groups are some members conscious?" (For the full question, including all answers available to survey respondents, see here (scroll down to 'Additional questions').) This question closes 2 days before the release of the results of the 2020 PhilPapers Survey.
The relevant percentage of respondents will be calculated using the default settings in the previous survey, i.e. with 'Target faculty' for 'population' and 'All respondents' for 'AOS'. If the display options change, then the admins will select that combination of options that best matches those settings. If the defaults change, we will still use the 2009 defaults.
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